Saturday, November 21st, 2009
Fallen Angels and crossover credits are often targeted by alternative investor groups like hedge funds and risk arbitrageurs who speculate on the mispricing between the various financing instruments of a company.
Characteristics of Fallen Angels:
Tags: Aids finance, Debt, economics, estate, Estate Planning, heir, income, inheritace, insurance, Interest, joit, last will, Market, market cycle, rate, tenancy
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Wednesday, October 28th, 2009
The rapid growth of the European corporate bond market since 1997 has promoted the acceptance of corporate bonds as a separate asset class. Therefore, identifying relative value not only between equities and government bonds, but also relative to corporate bonds, has become a central task of asset allocators. But, of course, this analysis is also relevant from the perspective of a pure fixed income investor. Not only does it help to assess the outlook for credit spreads in general, but also to decide on the beta or, in other words, the aggressiveness of a pure corporate bond portfolio relative to its benchmark. Although it has been common use to compare equities and government bonds, it is far less common to compare equities and corporate bonds.
Tags: credit score, get out of debt, income, international markets, making money, merger, money issues, money tips, personal finances, revenue, shares
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Tuesday, October 27th, 2009
Remember that corporate bonds can be replicated by the combination of a riskless bond and a short put on the assets of the company. Since lower rated bonds generally are closer to at-the-money than higher rated bonds, it can be expected that the increase of equity-market volatility leads to a widening of the spread differential between issues of different rating classes. This is due to the fact that the sensitivity of the bonds to changes in volatility is different. Options that trade close to at-the-money levels react more strongly given a change in volatility compared with options, which trade far out-of-the-money. The above-described relationships can be witnessed particularly well during crash scenarios in equity markets. In 1990/91, the rise in equity volatility, which was initiated by numerous profit warnings by companies, was a leading indicator of credit spreads.
The subsequent rise in implied equity-market volatility led to a steepening of the yield differential between high and lower rated credits. Baa and Aa rating classes are chosen to illustrate this relationship because for these rating classes the bond universe offers sufficient breadth and liquidity.
Tags: bonds, business, business tips, credit, credit cards, economy, finances, making money, money management, payday loans
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Monday, October 26th, 2009
The correlation between the debt and equity markets’ measures of risk has been extremely strong over the recent years. External shocks, for example the tragic events of September 11, 2001, the LTCM disaster in 1998 or the Asian crisis, have a substantial impact on credit spreads as well as on implied equity volatility. Consider the relationship between implied volatility of call options on Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50, and the spread versus government bonds of the MSCI Euro corporate bond index.
One way of interpreting implied volatility on an equity index is as the compensation that the investors receive for taking on equity risk. The index of credit spreads represents the additional yield investors demand for holding corporate debt over benchmark government debt. While there have at times been brief periods of divergence, these two risk measures typically move together. For example, in 1993/94 banks in the United States cleaned up their balance sheets by writing down nonperforming assets, causing the VIX index, representing the implied volatility of put and call options on the S&P 100, to fall to a historical low just above 10 percent. The decline in implied equity volatility triggered a credit spread rally. Asimilar thing happened in 2002. Average credit spreads collapsed by half, as did optionimplied volatility. So the decline in volatility was a major driver of credit spread tightening. However, one tends to find that when implied volatility falls below a certain threshold the effect of small changes on spreads is rather subdued.
Tags: business, crisis, finances, foreclosure, investments, loans, money advice, money problems, stock, stock exchange
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Monday, October 5th, 2009
Many investors try to avoid these troublesome relationships by using online brokers. Online investing is promoted as fun. Chat rooms, IPOs, after-hours trading, 24-hour research: The message is: meet interesting people and make quick, easy money. The results are not any better than using a live-body broker.
Studies show switching to low-commission, online brokers leads to overconfidence. Stocks are bought and sold online in seconds. Online research takes hours if done quickly, days and weeks if done properly. Online investors skip the research and go directly to the trading page. This causes excessive trading, which quickly adds up to excess commissions, large spreads, great unhappiness, and poor results. A few investors become addicted to trading.
Investors using online brokers often turn to chat rooms to get comfort during volatile markets. Chat rooms are full of investors trying to promote their own shares. Their agenda is to get you out of your shares and into theirs at ever-higher prices. Rumors and mass hysteria are treated as fact in chat rooms. Your gullibility will hurt you.
Tags: business plans, company, economy, marketing schedule, payment plans
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Friday, July 31st, 2009
When planning cash flow needs for a new business, managers should take their best guess and then double it. Then they should plan to spend three times as long moving into a profitable mode. That way they’re less likely to be disappointed. The point: It’s sad but true that being a pessimist is probably more prudent than being an optimist when predicting costs and length of time to profitability.
Companies should borrow or set up payment plans with suppliers to pay for all of inventory—or at least part of it—and then actually pay for the inventory using funds received from customers paying their bills (otherwise known as paid off accounts receivable).
Tags: cash crunch, cash dynamics, contingency, payment plans
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Thursday, July 30th, 2009
No company can anticipate all contingencies with 100 percent accuracy. This is especially true for operations in start-up mode.
If the company pays cash for its inventory, it won’t be able to restock key products when it comes time. Too many businesses have backed themselves into this corner, suddenly finding themselves with all the wrong merchandise and empty spots on their shelves where their biggest sellers once were because they have run out of cash to pay for the restocking. The next thing to go will be customers and, eventually the business.
Tags: cash crunch, contingency, productivity, profit
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Wednesday, July 29th, 2009
At one point product sales may be brisk and revenues over cost of goods sizable. There is no problem there. Then suddenly demand will pick up and costs will escalate—a by-product of needing more of everything to increase production and keep up with increased demand. Just about that time, a major creditor will run into a snag and will have to slow up payments.
Suddenly the company is caught in a cash crunch—more money is going out than is coming in when it’s needed. Then the company doesn’t have the capital it needs to help meet customer demand. Despite having a highly profitable profile on paper, the company isn’t receiving funds in the timely manner that it needs to pay its bills. Think of it like this: You just ordered a new car because you won $25,000 in the lottery. The dealer wants the money, but the lottery officials just told you that they can’t send the check for three months. Uh-oh.
Cash flow problems happen to all of us from time to time. If you plan sufficiently, you may avoid many of those rapids, but not all.
Tags: bank payment, cash flow, floats, management
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Wednesday, July 29th, 2009
Managing the finances of a business is not as easy as simply making sure your department or company always has more money than it spends. Business assets—of which cash is just one small part—are as prone to change as any other aspect of business. Planning for all business contingencies is part of the management equation, it’s critical to your role as a nonfinancial manager and the success of your department.
As long as there are businesses, cash availability will continue to be a problem for all of the people some of the time and some of the people all of the time. (Although the latter group does not stay in business very long.)
Tags: bank payment, floats, management
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